Swing State Odds

Posted : admin On 10.03.2021
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Indeed, the state has only backed a losing candidate on two occasions since 1896: the GOP's Thomas Dewey in 1944 and Richard Nixon in 1960. That boded well for Trump until this summear. Ohio had been a tightly-fought swing state since 2000, but he easily won by 8% in 2016 and he held a smaller but still notable lead in June. 'Swing states are the most critical states in the upcoming election. They're essentially the tipping point of who's going to win the electoral college, then win the presidency,' explains Swing. Odds To Win Key Swing States in 2020 US Presidential Election. State Biden Odds Trump Odds; Arizona-110-110: Florida +162-200: Georgia +185-230: Michigan-340 +265.

The US Supreme Court is seen in Washington, D.C., on December 7, 2020. (Photo by MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images)

(CNSNews.com) - The U.S. Supreme Court has placed on its docket a lawsuit filed by Texas asking the court to 'delay the deadline for the appointment of presidential electors' so ongoing voter fraud investigations may be completed.

The State of Texas says the Supreme Court should 'ultimately' direct (Republican) legislatures in four swing states to appoint the presidential electors.

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton filed the lawsuit against Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan and Wisconsin, where the Trump campaign alleges the election was 'stolen' from him.

'It's really important to my state that my voters be represented,' Paxton told Fox News's Sean Hannity Tuesday night.

'And if other states don't follow the Constitution, and if their state legislature isn't responsible for overseeing their elections and we have other people who are not under the Constitution supposed to be doing this, it affects my state.

'And so, our job is to make sure that the Constitution is followed and that every vote counts. In this case, I'm not sure that every vote was counted, not in the right way.'

According to the lawsuit: 'To safeguard public legitimacy at this unprecedented moment and restore public trust in the presidential election, this Court should extend the December 14, 2020 deadline for Defendant States’ certification of presidential electors to allow these investigations to be completed.'

The lawsuit argues that election 'flaws' make it impossible to know 'who legitimately won the 2020 election and threaten to cloud all future elections,” and therefore, the job of choosing electors should fall to lawmakers in those four states.

Paxton noted that the U.S. Supreme Court is the only one that can decide state-on-state disputes: 'And so we're pleading with the Supreme Court, please hear our case. Give us a chance, at least, to argue what we think is right. We want to argue the Constitution.'

The Supreme Court late Tuesday asked the four defendant states to respond to the lawsuit by Thursday, December 10, at 3 p.m., but there's no guarantee the Justices will actually hear the case.

Paxton said the heart of the case involves changes in election law that were made by state officials other than state lawmakers:

'It is the responsibility of state legislatures, per the Constitution, to set the rules for election of electors. In this case, those were overridden in the four states we're talking about, were overridden by other officials, whether they were judges or other governmental officials. And that's not the way our Constitution works.

'That's the challenge we have in front of the court -- can this be overridden by people who are not responsible under the Constitution for doing this?'

The lawsuit also alleges that the four defendant states violated the Equal Protection Clause. 'In this case, in all four states, we have county by county distinctions that treated voters differently. We, therefore, have unreliable results, and that's a problem,' Paxton said.

He noted that it is not 'uncommon' for a state legislature to elect the electors: 'So we're saying, hey, look, the results here -- we can't go back and let the genie back in the bottle, because we don't know how to match up signatures anymore because they were separated from ballot.

'Since we can't go back and do that, we want to go back to the legislature and let them make a decision since they were elected by the people of their states.'

Jay Sekulow, a former Trump attorney and head of the American Center for Law and Justice, said the Texas case 'is the most significant' of all the election challenges that have been filed:

'It’s the most significant because it is completely outcome determinative. What does that mean? It means that if the Court were to rule in favor of Texas, those four states, the states named in the complaint, would in in fact have their state legislatures determine the outcome. They would pick the electors.

'This is a lawsuit, of course, against Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. It is original jurisdiction, which means it doesn’t start at the district court level. It starts at the Supreme Court of the United States..'

Earlier on Tuesday, the U.S. Supreme Court, without comment, rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to overturn the state's certification of the Nov. 3 election for Democrat Joe Biden.

November 17 Update: While some battleground states are dealing with recounts and legal issues surrounding the handling of ballots, there are not really any new odds surfacing for the 2020 Presidential Election. There are, however, some lines available for the remaining Georgia Senate Runoff taking place in early January. Of course the earlier you place your bet, the bigger the payout, but you do have right up until the vote on Jan. 5th, 2021.

In the United States, the outcome of the Presidential Election is determined by which candidate meets the minimum threshold of 270 electoral votes and then wins the majority of these votes. It is possible for a Presidential candidate to win the popular vote but lose the Presidency due to the electoral vote distribution. Because of this constant intrigue, multiple legitimate offshore sportsbooks offer odds related to electoral votes by state.

In the US, each state is worth a specified number of votes in the Electoral College. Naturally, the states with larger numbers of electoral votes are the prized destinations that each candidate attempts to win over, though the biggest states are typical party stalwarts (i.e. CA always going Democrat while Texas always goes Republican).

Here we take a look at each state and which candidate they are currently leaning towards, and we will also discuss key swing states in the 2020 Presidential election, also known as battleground states, and provide some links to monitoring these states as the election progresses. You can visit our page about the Vegas odds for 2020 state primary elections for more information about betting on state primaries.

We also include information on where you can legally place bets on the current Electoral College odds. This information will be helpful to you should you decide to participate in the various state-related betting lines available at any legal online sportsbook offering political wagering.

Where To Bet - Sportsbooks Offering Odds On Who Will Win The Electoral College Vote For Each State

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150% Max $2504.5
250% Max $1,0004.4
3100% Max $1,0004.4
375% Max $1,0004.1

Current 2020 Electoral Odds By State

The following odds are all from BetOnline, which currently has lines up for all 50 states in the 2020 Presidential election. You can get the best odds - and the best payouts! - by making your picks early. Check back here frequently, as every state's updated lines will be posted as soon as they are released.

Note: The odds right now presume that Joe Biden will be the Democratic nominee and that Donald Trump will remain in office and be on the GOP general election ticket.

Alabama

  • Republican -2500
  • Democrat +1400

Alaska

  • Republican -700
  • Democrat +500

Arizona

  • Democrat -130
  • Republican +100 (EVEN)

Arkansas

  • Republican -1000
  • Democrat +600

California

  • Democrat -1500
  • Republican +1000

Colorado

  • Democrat -900
  • Republican +600

Connecticut

  • Democrat -1300
  • Republican +600

Delaware

  • Democrat -1600
  • Republican +1100

Florida

  • Democrat -120
  • Republican -110

Georgia

Swing state odds college football
  • Republican -220
  • Democrat +180

Hawaii

  • Democrat -2500
  • Republican +1400

Idaho

  • Republican -3300
  • Democrat +1600

Illinois

  • Democrat -1000
  • Republican +700

Indiana

  • Republican -900
  • Democrat +600

Iowa

  • Republican -260
  • Democrat +200

Kansas

  • Republican -1200
  • Democrat +900

Kentucky

  • Republican -2000
  • Democrat +1200

Louisiana

  • Republican -1600
  • Democrat +1100

Maine

  • Democrat -400
  • Republican +300

Maryland

  • Democrat -1500
  • Republican +1000

Massachusetts

  • Democrat -1600
  • Republican +1100

Michigan

  • Democrat -225
  • Republican +185

Minnesota

  • Democrat -180
  • Republican +150

Mississippi

  • Republican -1600
  • Democrat +1100

Missouri

  • Republican -900
  • Democrat +600

Montana

  • Republican -800
  • Democrat +550

Nebraska

  • Republican -1600
  • Democrat +1100

Nevada

  • Democrat -300
  • Republican +240

New Hampshire

  • Democrat -240
  • Republican +190

New Jersey

  • Democrat -1100
  • Republican +800

New Mexico

  • Democrat -700
  • Republican +500

New York

  • Democrat -1100
  • Republican +800

North Carolina

  • Republican -150
  • Democrat +120

North Dakota

  • Republican -2000
  • Democrat +1200

Ohio

  • Republican -215
  • Democrat +175

Oklahoma

  • Republican -2500
  • Democrat +1400

Oregon

  • Democrat -900
  • Republican +600

Pennsylvania

  • Democrat -165
  • Republican +135

Rhode Island

  • Democrat -1500
  • Republican +1000

South Carolina

  • Republican -1000
  • Democrat +700

South Dakota

  • Republican -2500
  • Democrat +1400

Tennessee

  • Republican -1500
  • Democrat +1000

Texas

  • Republican -450
  • Democrat +325

Utah

  • Republican -1000
  • Democrat +700

Vermont

  • Democrat -1500
  • Republican +1000

Virginia

  • Democrat -750
  • Republican +550

Washington

  • Democrat -1500
  • Republican +1000

West Virginia

  • Republican -2500
  • Democrat +1400

Wisconsin

  • Democrat -165
  • Republican +135

Wyoming

  • Republican -3300
  • Democrat +1600

Alabama

  • Republican -4000
  • Democrat +1000

Alaska

  • Republican -900
  • Democrat +500

Arizona

  • Democrat -180
  • Republican +135

Arkansas

  • Republican -1100
  • Democrat +575

California

  • Democrat -2000
  • Republican +800

Colorado

  • Democrat -850
  • Republican +475

Connecticut

  • Democrat -3000
  • Republican +900

Delaware

  • Democrat -3000
  • Republican +900

Florida

  • Republican -120
  • Democrat -110

Georgia

  • Republican -220
  • Democrat +165

Hawaii

  • Democrat -6000
  • Republican +1200

Idaho

  • Republican -4000
  • Democrat +1000

Illinois

  • Democrat -3000
  • Republican +900

IndianaAtm check.

  • Republican -2000
  • Democrat +800

Iowa

  • Republican -250
  • Democrat +185

Kansas

  • Republican -2000
  • Democrat +800

Kentucky

  • Republican -3000
  • Democrat +900

Louisiana

  • Republican -1600
  • Democrat +700

Maine

Swing State Odds

  • Democrat -500
  • Republican +330

Maryland

  • Democrat -3300
  • Republican +950

Massachusetts

  • Democrat N/A
  • Republican N/A

Michigan

  • Democrat -250
  • Republican +185

Minnesota

  • Democrat -220
  • Republican +165

Mississippi

  • Republican -2000
  • Democrat +800

Missouri

  • Republican -1000
  • Democrat +550

Montana

  • Republican -1000
  • Democrat +550

Nebraska

  • Republican -3000
  • Democrat +900

Nevada

  • Democrat -500
  • Republican +330

New Hampshire

  • Democrat -250
  • Republican +185

New Jersey

  • Democrat -1800
  • Republican +725

New Mexico

  • Democrat -1000
  • Republican +550

New York

  • Democrat -3000
  • Republican +900
State

North Carolina

  • Democrat -130
  • Republican +100 (EVEN)

North Dakota

  • Republican -3000
  • Democrat +900

Ohio

  • Republican -240
  • Democrat +175

Oklahoma

  • Republican -3000
  • Democrat +900

Oregon

  • Democrat -1200
  • Republican +600

Pennsylvania

  • Democrat -190
  • Republican +145

Rhode Island

  • Democrat -3000
  • Republican +900

South Carolina

  • Republican -1400
  • Democrat +650

South Dakota

  • Republican -4000
  • Democrat +1000

Tennessee

  • Republican -3000
  • Democrat +900

Texas

  • Republican -360
  • Democrat +250

Utah

  • Republican -1900
  • Democrat +750

Vermont

  • Democrat -6000
  • Republican +1200

Virginia

  • Democrat -900
  • Republican +500

Washington

  • Democrat -2000
  • Republican +800

West Virginia

  • Republican -4000
  • Democrat +1000

Wisconsin

  • Democrat -150
  • Republican +115

Wyoming

  • Republican -3000
  • Democrat +900

Electoral College Predictions For 2020 Presidential Election

The leanings of each individual state can fluctuate right up through Election Day. However, there are some instances where a candidate has established a safe state for their party by obtaining a majority of the support from that region.

Swing State Betting Odds

Below is a listing of those states that are considered ‘safe’ for each candidate and can be reasonably predicted to vote in a specific direction. We have also listed the toss-up states that could go either direction.

States That Voted For Trump In 2016

Trump secured support in the following states. We’ve broken down the list into a few categories showing the overarching strength of Republican support, which should give bettors some insight into how these states will vote in 2020.

Solid Trump States – Solid Republican States

  • Alabama - 9 electoral votes
  • Arkansas - 6 electoral votes
  • Idaho - 4 electoral votes
  • Louisiana - 8 electoral votes
  • Kentucky - 8 electoral votes
  • Mississippi - 6 electoral votes
  • Nebraska - 4 electoral votes
  • North Dakota - 3 electoral votes
  • Oklahoma - 7 electoral votes
  • West Virginia - 5 electoral votes
  • Wyoming - 3 electoral votes

States Likely To Vote Trump – States Likely To Vote Republican

  • Alaska - 3 electoral votes
  • Indiana - 11 electoral votes
  • Kansas - 6 electoral votes
  • Missouri - 10 electoral votes
  • Montana - 3 electoral votes
  • Nebraska - 1 electoral vote
  • South Dakota - 3 electoral votes
  • Tennessee - 11 electoral votes
  • Texas - 38 electoral votes
  • Utah - 6 electoral votes

States Leaning Trump – States Leaning Republican

  • South Carolina with 9 electoral votes

States That Voted For Hillary In 2016

The following states were predicted to be in the Clinton camp for the 2016 Presidential election, which can indicate a tendency to vote Democrat in 2020. However, given Trump's polarizing nature and populist support, one or more of these DNC strongholds could teeter over to the other side come the November general.

Solid Democrat States

  • California - 55 electoral votes
  • DC - 3 electoral votes
  • Hawaii - 4 electoral votes
  • Massachusetts - 11 electoral votes
  • Maryland - 10 electoral votes
  • New York - 29 electoral votes
  • Vermont - 3 electoral votes

States Likely To Vote Democrat

  • Delaware - 3 electoral votes
  • Illinois - 20 electoral votes
  • New Jersey - 14 electoral votes
  • Rhode Island - 4 electoral votes
  • Washington State - 12 electoral votes

Swing State Odds College Football

States Leaning Towards Voting Democrat

  • Connecticut - 7 electoral votes
  • Maine - 1 electoral vote
  • Oregon - 7 electoral votes
  • Minnesota - 10 electoral votes
  • Wisconsin - 10 electoral votes

Toss Up States In The 2016 Presidential Election

These states were undecided before the 2016 election, with neither candidate securing the majority of support. Several of these states were considered swing states or battleground states, and both candidates campaigned heavily in them in the last days before the Big Vote. Below you will find information specifically discussing potential 2020 Presidential election swing states.

  • Arizona - 11 electoral votes
  • Colorado - 9 electoral votes
  • Florida - 29 electoral votes
  • Georgia - 16 electoral votes
  • Iowa - 6 electoral votes
  • Maine - 3 electoral votes
  • Michigan - 16 electoral votes
  • New Hampshire - 4 electoral votes
  • New Mexico - 5 electoral votes
  • Nevada - 6 electoral votes
  • North Carolina - 15 electoral votes
  • Ohio - 18 electoral votes
  • Pennsylvania - 20 electoral votes
  • Virginia - 13 electoral votes

What Are The Swing States For the 2020 Presidential Election?

Swing states, battleground states, and toss ups - Regardless of what we call them, they often determine the results of the Presidential election. No candidate or political party enjoys overwhelming support in these regions, and so they get a lot of attention as the general election nears.

11 regions have been designated as the 2020 swing states in the Presidential election, with three of these states considered to be ‘key’ battleground states. Securing support in these is critical for all Presidential candidates.

Swing states Florida and Ohio have determined the results of the race in recent election cycles, and they are always a crown jewel in the Electoral College process. Following is a list of the designated swing states for 2020, with the three key battleground states listed first.

You may notice that all of the swing states are also listed on the list of toss up states with the exception of Wisconsin. Wisconsin has recently been moved to ‘leaning Democrat’ status, but the Democrat lead there is not significant enough to remove the state from still being considered a swing state.

  • Florida
  • Ohio
  • Pennsylvania
  • Wisconsin
  • New Hampshire
  • Minnesota
  • Iowa
  • Michigan
  • Nevada
  • Colorado
  • North Carolina

Vegas Odds On State Electoral Votes

Swing State Odds Calculator

Betting on which direction a state will vote has become a part of the political betting lines available on the 2020 presidential election. Some sportsbooks provide odds on every single state, while others may only include toss up or swing states. This makes sense as there really isn’t much risk in predicting that a solid red or blue state will vote in their typical fashion.

Some of the state-related wagering options you’ll find at our recommended sportsbooks offering political betting lines are things like what percentage of total states will be won by each party, which candidate or party will receive the popular vote in a given state, and which candidate or party will receive the electoral vote in a given state.

Resources For 2020 Presidential Election Map of Electoral Votes

Swing State Odds 2020

Other Pages Of Interest