If you are looking to bet on the NFL to make money you have found the right website. Sure, betting adds a lot of excitement to watching the NFL games, but here at TheSportsGeek.com we are in it to make money over the course of each NFL season.
Making a profit of the course of the NFL season is tough, and the average bettor will not do it, but I am here to give you a few NFL betting tips and strategies (most that follow the normal sports betting strategies) that will help you have a better shot at making money this NFL season.
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Basic NFL Betting Strategies and Tips
Did you know that you need to hit above 52.4% of your NFL bets (assuming you are betting -110 odds) in order to profit? Doesn’t sound too hard does it? It is actually extremely tough to do, and only the best of the best can consistently hit 53%+ winners year in and year out in the NFL.
Betting on the National Football League is one of the simple pleasures of life for pigskin fans. It’s easy to become totally engrossed in a game that involves your favorite team, but even if you love the sport, it’s hard to get excited about other contests. When you choose to bet on NFL football online, all of that changes.
- NFL Week 16 Recap: The Colts (-1) blew a 21-7 halftime lead in a 28-24 loss to the Steelers and Jared Goff struggled mightily in a 20-8 loss to the Seahawks as a 1.5-point road dog. You might have cashed on the Chargers, who were a 2-point favorite versus the Broncos at kickoff, but my line on Friday was Bolts -3 so that game was a push. Thus, I went 0-2-1 ATS in Week 16.
- Our betting trends, also known as public betting percentages, represent actual wagers. A large money percentage indicates a higher likelihood that pros are betting on this side. Monitoring public betting data is a vital tool used by sharp bettors to find value within the sports betting marketplace.
Use the basic NFL betting strategies below to help you on your way to a profiting NFL season.
#1 NFL Betting Strategy – Money/Bankroll Management
When you are betting on the NFL season you will want to set aside a certain amount of money to bet with that you can afford to lose, known as your “bankroll”. I suggest you either make a weekly bankroll, monthly bankroll, or full season bankroll (I do full season).
For example, you may set aside a $3000 bankroll for the full NFL season that you can use to bet with. A general rule of thumb for NFL betting I go by is to only use 2-5% of my bankroll for each bet. In this example, it would allow us to make $60-$150 wagers on each game we bet. You can use 2% for your smaller plays and 5% for plays you really like.
One common mistake is to increase the size of your bets as you start winning or to chase losses with biggers bets – remember the NFL is a long season and to profit over the course of the season you need to manage your money smartly.
#2 NFL Betting Strategy – Look For Weekly Edges
I can’t believe how many times I will see bettors who play every game (or close to) in the NFL each week. This is a recipe for disaster in the long run – to be a winning NFL bettor you need to find edges and capitalize on them.
Find what you think may be an edge in the NFL lines and make your bets based on that. Some weeks you may be making 4 bets, some weeks 6 NFL bets, and hell some weeks even just 1 or 2 NFL bets on the whole weekend. Don’t force bets because you want action and want to make the NFL games more exciting. If you want to make a profit this NFL season find a few good plays each weekend and bet them with 2-5% of your bankroll like we mentioned above.
#3 NFL Betting Strategy – Line Shopping
In order to have the best opportunity of making money this NFL season, you will need to make sure you do a little bit of “line shopping”. Line shopping is simply checking a few different sportsbooks and comparing the lines on the plays you like. For example, you may like the Bears to cover the 5 point spread on Monday night. Before you place your wager you should check other sportsbooks, as one of them might have the Bears listed as 4.5 point favorites instead of 5 point favorites.
I suggest you sign up at 3-4 of the best NFL sportsbooks listed in our Online Sportsbook section and compare the lines on each before you make any bets this NFL season. This NFL betting strategy can help you win a few extra wagers this NFL season and help you on your way to a winning season!
#4 NFL Betting Strategy – Bet Sober and Don’t Tilt
Bet Sober – This may seem pretty obvious, but there are hundreds of thousands of bettors who don’t follow this week in and week out during the NFL season. Do you think it’s a coincidence that Vegas casinos offer gamblers free alcoholic drinks? Drinking will impair your judgment while betting – save the beers for when the games start and you are done making bets.
Don’t Tilt – Everyone losses. Even the best NFL handicappers lose bets 40% of the time. Don’t let your emotions get the best of you. Some bettors may take a few bad losses and start to make very poor decisions as their emotions have taken over. Make sure you have a clear mind when making your NFL bets. If you feel like you are on tilt go for a walk or do something to calm down and don’t bet until you are back to your normal state of mind.
You are now ready to become a winning NFL bettor – Follow our Sports Picks for weekly NFL prediction articles and sign up at Bovada.lv for a $250 Free Money bonus for this NFL season!
After an unprecedented six opening-round games, the 2020-2021 NFL Playoffs play on with this weekend’s Divisional Round. All four games offer fascinating matchups, including a battle of two of the NFL’s all-time greatest quarterbacks in the Tampa Bay-New Orleans contest.
The Cleveland Browns pulled off the biggest surprise of Super Wild Card weekend, earning a trip to Arrowhead Stadium to face the AFC No. 1 see Kansas City Chiefs.
The Baltimore Ravens-Buffalo Bills tilt produces the closest-matched teams of any Divisional Round matchup, at least as far as the bookmakers are concerned. Uptown aces no deposit bonus codes 2020.
Five of the top sportsbooks in the US (DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, BetRivers, PointsBet, BetMGM) offer competitive lines on NFL second-round playoff games. A close look at the lines from each, however, reveals plenty of value to be had for astute line shoppers.
Here’s a glance at how five of the top online sportsbooks set the lines on this weekend’s upcoming playoff round:
Baltimore Ravens At Buffalo Bills Odds
|Baltimore Ravens||+2, -109||+2, -110||+2, -109||+2.5, -115||+2.5, -105|
|Buffalo Bills||-2, -112||-2, -110||-2, -112||-2.5, -105||-2, -115|
Theclosest Divisional Round matchup in the bookmakers’ eyes features the surging Baltimore Ravens against the AFC No. 2 seed Buffalo Bills. Led by potentialMVP candidate Josh Allen, the Bills won a playoff game for the first time in a quarter-century last week, downing Indianapolis 27-24.
To advance to the AFC Championship, the Bills will have to oust a Ravens team led by last year’s NFL MVP, quarterback Lamar Jackson. Baltimore rides a six-game winning streak coming into Saturday night’s date with the Bills.
The Ravens defense held Tennessee running back Derrick Henry in check in their Wild Card round win at the Titans. The BetMGM line on the Ravens (+2.5, -105) offers the best overall value among these five sportsbooks for bettors looking to back Baltimore.
FanDuel Sportsbook’s odds on the favored Bills (-2, -110) offers top value on Buffalo.
Cleveland Browns At Kansas City Chiefs Odds
|Cleveland Browns||+10, -112||+10, -110||+10, -112||+10, -115||+10, -110|
|Kansas City Chiefs||-10, -109||-10, -110||-10, -109||-10, -105||-10, -110|
Is the double-digit line on the Cleveland-Kansas City matchup disrespectful to the Browns? Cleveland overcame a COVID-19 outbreak that kept head coach Kevin Stefanski and several other coaches and players out of the Browns’ Wild Card round matchup at Pittsburgh.
Despite those complications, Cleveland went on the road to Heinz Field and shocked the Steelers 48-37. The Browns could be back at full strength for Sunday’s Divisional Round game against Kansas City.
The defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs looked like the strongest team in the NFL throughout the season, and that respect shows in the (-10) line offered on Kansas City at all five sportsbooks listed here.
PointsBet (-105) offers the best value on the Chiefs, while FanDuel Sportsbook and BetMGM offer the most bettor-friendly line on the underdog Browns.
Los Angeles Rams At Green Bay Packers Odds
|Los Angeles Rams||+7, -115||+7, -118||+7, -115||+7, -115||+7, -110|
|Green Bay Packers||-7, -106||-7, -104||-7, -106||-7, -105||-7, -110|
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TheRams dominated their Wild Card round contest against the Seattle Seahawks, coming away with a 30-20 win in a battle of NFC West rivals. The defense led the way for Los Angeles, which now travels to No. 1 seed Green Bay in the Divisional round.
Los Angeles’ ongoing quarterback issues became further complicated in the first-round win. Backup-turned-starter John Wolford left the game in the first quarter after sustaining a neck injury.
That forced the Rams to plug longtime starter Jared Goff back into the game, with questionable status on the health of his recently surgically-repaired thumb.
Those QB issues carry over to Lambeau Field Saturday, with the NFC No. 1 seed Green Bay Packers awaiting. Green Bay enjoyed a bye last week and comes into this weekend with perhaps its most talented roster since winning the Super Bowl in 2010-11.
All five of our top sportsbooks listed here install Green Bay as (-7) favorites. FanDuel Sportsbook (-104) offers the best odds on the Packers, followed by DraftKings Sportsbook and BetRivers (both -106).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers At New Orleans Saints Odds
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+3, -108||+3, -102||+3, -108||+3, -105||+3, -105|
|New Orleans Saints||-3, -113||-3, -120||-3, -113||-3, -115||-3, -115|
The NFL puts a Tom Brady vs. Drew Brees matchup of legendary quarterbacks in the Sunday afternoon slot. This game marks the third time these two NFC South rivals have played this year, with both regular-season games won by the Saints?
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Can New Orleans make it three in a row on Sunday? The Buccaneers enter the contest on the back of five straight wins, including last week’s 32-13 playoff victory at Washington.
The Buccaneers’ loaded offense goes to the Superdome to try to deny Brees of an NFC Championship appearance in what could be Brees’ final active season.
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FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best payout (-102) on the Bucs, while the other four sportsbooks all offer similar odds on the favored Saints (-113 to -115).