While the sport of boxing is on hold until the country can get the coronavirus under control, a massive story broke this week and it has created a huge buzz as Saul “Canelo” Alvarez (53-1-2, 36 KOs) and Gennady “GGG” Golovkin (40-1-1, 35 KOs) have agreed in principle to a trilogy fight this fall.
This highly anticipated bout is tentatively scheduled for September 12th with the goal of taking place at AT&T Stadium, which is the home of the Dallas Cowboys. This is one of the biggest fights that the sport of boxing can make and it’s certainly given fight fans something to look forward to.
GGG odds are pretty narrow. Online Vegas sportsbook Bovada's fight odds (as of Sept. 14) have Golovkin as a slight favorite to win the fight at -145, which means you'd need to wager. A title unification bout has Saul 'Canelo' Alvarez colliding with 'Superb' Billy Joe Saunders in a great super middleweight tilt. Odds Shark's combat sports expert has the odds, a preview and a pick for this. All odds as of Dec 23. Canelo’s First Foe for the New Year. The biggest favorite for Canelo’s next adversary is Caleb Plant (+150). Saunders is the second heaviest favorite (+225), and both of these.
Sports betting sites have released odds for this trilogy fight and Canelo Alvarez has opened as the favorite. Let’s take a closer look at these odds and see if there’s any value with the opening lines.
BREAKING – Canelo Alvarez and Gennadiy Golovkin have agreed to a trilogy bout, sources tell @pugboxing.
? from @TheAthleticBOX ⤵️https://t.co/JiKFo03hHa
— The Athletic (@TheAthletic) March 17, 2020
Canelo vs GGG Betting Odds
The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:
- Canelo Alvarez (-260)
- Gennady Golovkin (+200)
The opening odds for BetOnline have Canelo as a sizable favorite despite the first two fights being razor thin.
Ggg Vs Canelo Results
However, these odds change with each sportsbook you look at. William Hill has Canelo listed at -200 and GGG at +150. Sportsbook.ag has the odds even at -115 apiece.
If you are looking to jump on the opening lines and you believe that Canelo will win then don’t hesitate. Place your wagers on the -115 odds. However, if you are looking at betting on GGG then go with the +200 odds as that offers great value.
The First Canelo vs GGG Fight
In September 2017, these two stars met in the ring for the first time. It was a mega-fight that fans and pundits were clamoring for. Canelo opened as an underdog of +138 and closed at +161 odds. Golovkin was a favorite opened as a -175 favorite and closed at odds of -191.
The first fight ended in controversy as it was ruled a split draw. However, many credible media outlets had GGG winning the fight as the stats showed that he landed more punches in 10 of 12 rounds than Alvarez did.
At the heart of the controversy was judge Adalaide Byrd’s scoring who had Canelo win 118-110. Outlets like ESPN and HBO had GGG winning 116-112. The other two judges had it 115-113 for GGG and a 114-114 draw.
The aftermath of this fight left a bad taste in the mouth of fans and pundits. It also led to a rematch one year later.
The Rematch Between Canelo and GGG
The rematch was originally supposed to take place on May 5th, 2018, but Canelo failed a drug test for clenbuterol two months before the bout was to take place. It forced the rematch to take place on September 15th, 2018, instead.
Alvarez opened as the underdog with odds of +150 and closed at +169. Once again, GGG was the favorite with an opening of -170 and a closing of -233.
And, just like with the first fight, this one also ended in controversy. Canelo Alvarez was awarded the win via majority decision. Two judges scored it 115-113 for Canelo and the third judge had it as a 114-114 draw.
However, like with the first matchup, the majority of media outlets thought Golovkin won and were protesting the outcome. Of the 18 boxing media outlets polled on the outcome, 10 of them had GGG winning. Seven of the outlets had it as a draw and only one boxing outlet had Alvarez winning.
GGG landed more punches than Alvarez just like in the first fight. Unfortunately for Golovkin, the judges felt that Canelo did more and he suffered the first loss of his career.
Not So Fast
It’s exciting that these two rivals have agreed to a third contest. However, we need to take this all in stride because both men will participate in another fight before then.
Vegas Odds For Canelo Vs Ggg
In the beginning of June, Canelo Alvarez is supposed to take on Billy Joe Saunders for a title unification bout at the 168 pound weight class. Golovkin will take on mandatory middleweight title challenger Kamil Szeremeta also around the same time.
Currently, there are no betting odds for the GGG fight, but Canelo is a large betting favorite over Saunders with odds ranging from -600 to -700. The unbeaten Saunders (29-0, 14 KOs) is a sizable underdog with odds listed from +400 to +500.
I believe both GGG and Canelo will win their respective bouts, but as we saw in Tyson Fury’s fight last year against an underdog in Otto Wallin, injuries can happen. And, if there’s an injury in either Canelo’s or GGG’s fight this June then it could delay the big trilogy contest this fall.
Early Predictions for Canelo vs GGG III
Golovkin has been chasing after Canelo since their rematch in 2018. GGG believes that he won both fights and wants to get revenge for the controversial losses. In fact, Golovkin signed with DAZN just to get closer to a third contest with Canelo as Alvarez is DAZN’s top signed fighter.
With DAZN, promoters and fans around the world pushing for a third fight, the sport will finally get what they’ve been waiting for. Because these two men have become bitter rivals, this fight will do big numbers. Other than Tyson Fury vs Anthony Joshua, this is the biggest fight in boxing today.
As for betting on this fight, as mentioned above, make sure to shop for the best lines so that you can get the best value. I’m a fan of GGG, but I believe Canelo has taken his game to another level. He’s also gone up and down in weight to collect gold from different divisions.
I thought GGG won at least one of the first two fights, if not both of them. However, I’m taking Canelo in this trilogy fight. He’s showed good form over his last three fights in beating Sergey Kovalev, Danny Jacobs and Rocky Fielding.