The Octagon flies down to Auckland, New Zealand this Saturday for UFC Fight Night 168 Felder vs Hooker.
- Ufc Fight Night 168 Betting Odds
- Fight Night 168 Odds Ncaa Basketball
- Fight Night 168 Odds Explained
- Fight Night 168 Betting Odds
The City Kickboxing Gym in Auckland is without a doubt the gym of the year for 2019 as they secured two world championship belts this past year.
Israel Adesanya convincingly TKO’ed Australian champion Robert Whitaker and most recently, Alexander “The Great” Volkanovski leg kicked his way to a decision win over Max “Blessed” Holloway.
There won’t be any belts on the line this weekend but their stablemate Dan “The Hangman” Hooker will fight Paul Felder in what could be a #1 contenders match.
There have been talks of Conor McGregor getting the winner of Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Tony Ferguson but McGregor recently called out Felder on Twitter letting the “Irish Dragon” know that his family name is German English and told him to “Shut up you Ginger German twat.”
Just last week at UFC Fight Night 168, Marley told SportsLine members to support hometown favorite Dan Hooker (-150) against Paul Felder (+130) in a matchup of rugged ranked lightweights in the. Let’s get to our betting odds and predictions for UFC Fight Night 168. Angela Hill (-190) vs Loma Lookboonme (+165) Wow, it is very very cool to see a Thai woman fighting in the UFC. I’m not for sure but I’m almost certain that Loma is the first female from the Kingdom to compete inside the Octagon.
Conor is hilarious. I think Paul does a good job in the broadcast booth but maybe it’s just his Philadelphia-ness that irks me but I’m just not a fan.
I find it interesting C-Mac didn’t call out Dan who would be a tougher matchup stylistically for the “Notorious” one.
This show isn’t about Conor McGregor, guys, sorry.
The rest of the card is stacked with down under fighters and I’ll tell you right now, I think there are boatloads of betting value throughout.
BetOnline.AG has the odds for us this week.
Before we make our way to this week’s picks, let’s quickly recap how the betting went this past Saturday in New Mexico.
- We took Raulian Paiva at (-240) to defeat Mark De La Rosa and he did with a TKO late in the second round
- Next, we picked Ray Borg at (-145) to get the victory which he did by unanimous decision
- Then, Mark’s wife, Montana De La Rosa overcame a shaky start to dominate her fight with Italy’s Mara Romera Borella with a grappling heavy attack
- 3-0, rolling right along
- Then, for some stupid stupid reason, I picked a Diego Sanchez fight.
- Yes, we picked him to lose but after an out of control Michael Perreira landed a knee when Sanzhez was grounded, the long-time UFC vet decided to take the DQ win
- I’m not going to get on here and say he has no heart because we have all seen his on display for years.
- He’s not the same guy anymore and the untrained quack in his corner doesn’t help
- In the main event, we took Corey Anderson who looked like absolute doggy doo-doo
- The naked kick he threw on Jan was technically one of the worst I have seen in the UFC in probably a decade
No angle step, no extension, no hand up on the phone…
- It’s like he wanted to get knocked out
- We also picked the under in the Sanchez fight so we ended up 3-3
Let’s get to our betting odds and predictions for UFC Fight Night 168.
Angela Hill (-190) vs Loma Lookboonme (+165)
Wow, it is very very cool to see a Thai woman fighting in the UFC. I’m not for sure but I’m almost certain that Loma is the first female from the Kingdom to compete inside the Octagon.
She is matched up against another striker too. Angela Hill will have the height and reach advantage, though, as she almost always does.
“Overkill” Hill is also taking this fight on very short notice as she just fought and won for us less than one month ago opposite Hannah Cifers.
Cifers is a sweetheart with good hands but Angela showed us something in that fight we aren’t used to seeing in her game. She took the North Carolina-native down and proceeded to smash her opponent with punches and elbows until the referee had seen enough towards the end of round 2.
I love that Angela is evolving her game. When fighters are competing at the highest level, it can be difficult to implement new game plans. Even in practice, it’s natural to train to your strengths.
Hill, who recently appeared on the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast, appears to be at the top of her game mentally, physically, and spiritually.
I know Loma trains at Tiger Muay Thai with an unlimited amount of killers down in Phuket but I just see Angela being able to wrestle her to the ground and control her there.
If Loma were the bigger woman or better athlete, I would hesitate here but she’s not.
Kai Kara France (-255) vs Tyson Name (+215)
We have another City Kickboxing fighter competing at home in Auckland this weekend in Kai Kara France and it seems like he just fought recently as well.
Well, December 14th wasn’t that long ago.
That’s only just over 2 months.
Kai lost to Brandon Moreno that night. I think we stayed away from that one. I knew France was on a roll but Moreno is highly underrated.
The only time we’ve seen Tyson Nam fight inside the Octagon was against Sergio Pettis when he just got jabbed to death for three rounds.
Kai has a similar style to Pettis and I see this one going about the same way.
I think the hometown boy gets a unanimous decision or a late stoppage.
Jake Matthews (-209) vs Emil Meek (+179)
Emil Meek has some power in his hands but he struggles to land the big shot before someone dumps him on his backside.
2.24 strikes landed per minute for Meek is not going to cut it at this level unless he is Damien Maia which he is not.
Emil’s takedown defense is crap too and Jake Matthews can wrestle.
Jake has a 66% takedown percentage and averages nearly 3 per 15 minutes while Meek is below the .500 mark only defending 46% of attempts to drag the fight to the floor.
I see Jake, even though he will be at a size disadvantage, controlling this one with his wrestling and getting the decision win.
Marcos Rogerio De Lima (-149) vs Ben Sosoli (+129)
These are two fairly low-level heavyweights.
Sosoli, “The Combat Wombat”, is a short and stocky guy who does not have a heavyweight frame.
He fought Greg Hardy in 2019 and couldn’t do too much with him.
Ben did “force” the former Dallas Cowboy to use an inhaler in between the 2nd and 3rd round which eventually got the American Top Team product disqualified.
Sosoli can punch so there is the chance he catches Marcos but I love the value here on the bigger man with more tools.
Xiaonan Yan (-250) vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz (+210)
Man, I’m a big fan of Karolina. She really took a turn in her career a few years ago after the Joanna Champion fight and has never looked the same mentally again.
That was in late 2016 and she has only won 2 of her 6 fights since.
She has faced some very tough competition in her UFC career including former champions Rose Namajunas and Jessica Andrade so she will have the nod in experience.
Yan, though, has looked great in her young career as she was able to outstrike and out wrestle a great athlete in the previously mentioned Angela Hill.
The Pole is a good all-around fighter but sometimes that can work against you opposite a specialist but in the case of Yan, I just believe the Chinese woman is better everywhere.
Magomed Mustafaev (-129) vs Brad Riddell (+109)
This one could be fight of the night if it weren’t for the stellar main event.
Heck, it still might be.
It’s difficult to put your money on Mustafaev here not because of ability or skill level but just the fact that he has less than 2 minutes of fight time over the past 3 years.
Riddell is game, will fight for your money, and has good cardio.
Magomed is the more polished and more powerful fighter here. He should have an advantage on the feet as well as the wrestling.
The only thing I’m worried about here is Magomed gassing after he tries too hard to finish and doesn’t get it.
Mustafaev has enough power in his strikes to keep you honestly defending and if he strings together a single or double leg takedown a couple of times, the control and win should be his.
Kenan Song (-185) vs Callan Potter (+160)
This is a bit of a mismatch, really. I’m not sure why the lines are as close as they are.
Callan Potter is a local guy who will fight to the end but his skills are not really on par with being a UFC fighter.
Potter is decent in the clinch and has good submissions. His problem is that he isn’t the best athlete and takedown artist.
What’s the point of having a ground game if you can’t get the fight to the mat?
Callan is tough, though. He will walk through punches to obtain the clinch if he has to.
I thought Song looked pretty good against Derrick Krantz in his UFC debut and Derrick was a much bigger stronger and faster man than Potter.
I think Song keeps this one on the feet and outclasses the local.
Takashi Sato (-125) vs Maki Pitolo (+105)
I would cap this one at nearly 2 to 1 for the Japanese superstar Sato. The former Pancrase champion has legitimate power in his hands and Maki simply does not.
I just mentioned Callan Potter walking through punches to obtain the clinch. Well, those punches were from Pitolo.
The wrestling should cancel out here and I think Sato likely grew as a fighter after being worked by Belal Muhammed.
That leaves a major power discrepancy between the two and Maki likely getting caught with something within the distance.
Dan Hooker (-145) vs Paul Felder (+125)
Both of these two guys are highly skilled mixed martial artists.
Dan Hooker is massive for lightweight with very good striking technique, he’s opportunistic, and has the power to finish the fight.
Hooker, the Auckland-native and City Kickboxing fighter, has a very good submission game as well.
That’s actually how he got his nickname “The Hangman” from his guillotine which I like to refer to as a horizontal hanging.
His cardio is good and has solid takedown defense, although I see this one playing out on the feet exclusively.
Paul Felder has solid Muay Thai, okay power, and possibly the best fight IQ in the game.
If this one goes to a decision, I believe Felder has a slightly better chance of winning and conversely, if it ends within the distance, Dan will likely be the one with his hand raised.
Both men are good with leg kicks. Dan likes to kick the calf a bit more than the quad and Paul prefers the quad to the calf.
Hooker has the hometown advantage, the length, and the power on his side.
Paul has a great chin, yes, but the knee is a really big knuckle.
Dan catches the “Irish, ehem or should I say German English Dragon” with that big knuckle in the 3rd round.
New Zealanders or Kiwis for short love to fight.
I’ve heard through the grapevine that they love to drink as well but don’t we all, sometimes?
After grabbing two world title belts in 2019, the city of Auckland looks to add to that total in 2020.
It won’t be this weekend but defeating Paul Felder especially in a convincing manner would put Dan Hooker’s name near the top of the list.
Maybe he would fight Justin Gaethje in a very interesting matchup or he could even fight Conor McGregor.
Time will tell.
As far as this card goes, you’re probably surprised at how many fights we picked but I just saw a pattern of slight to moderate favorites whom I had a significant amount of confidence.
Also, the UFC likes to set up most of the home fighters with winnable fights.
They match them up well most of the time and this weekend looks like one of those events.
The fights will be live in our primetime Saturday night but get those bets in now!
Tune in, turn up, and bet hard!
On Saturday, February 22nd, the UFC will be live with an international event held at the Spark Arena in Auckland, New Zealand, for UFC Fight Night 168 also known as UFC Fight Night: Felder vs Hooker, UFC on ESPN+ 26, and UFC Auckland.
The main event of the show is a lightweight battle between Paul Felder and Dan Hooker. The winner will crack the Top 5 rankings in the division and be one fight away from a title shot. The co-featured bout of the evening is a light heavyweight contest between Jim Crute and Michal Oleksiejczuk.
In total, the main card features six fights and begins at 7 PM ET. The entire show will stream live from New Zealand on ESPN+.
UFC betting sites have released odds for this main card. Let’s step inside the betting octagon to examine these UFC Fight Night 168 odds courtesy of 5Dimes, identify any potential value, and TKO our predictions.
'I'm going to land a shot on his chin, and I'm going to take him off the planet.'
A rivalry is brewing in New Zealand ? #UFCAucklandpic.twitter.com/WDPVlb2akJ
— UFC (@ufc) February 19, 2020
Zubaira Tukhugov vs Kevin Aguilar
- Zubaira Tukhugov (-105)
- Kevin Aguilar (-115)
Aguilar enters this weekend’s fight as a slight betting favorite. He’s coming off a loss to Dan Ige last June, but still has an overall UFC record of 2-1. Aguilar is a striker who looks to put his knockout power to good use every time he steps inside the octagon.
10 of his 17 pro wins have come via TKO/KO. However, he’s gone the distance in five of his last six fights including four in a row and all three of his UFC bouts.
Despite suffering only the second loss of his career last June, he took it hard and decided to refocus on his career and commit to training full time. This rededication has Aguilar feeling confident heading into his bout this weekend:
“I can take the fight anywhere and be victorious. If you want to keep it standing, I’m more than happy to stand with you. If you want to play the Jiu Jitsu game, we can we can roll it out. Wrestling, anything, I can take the fight anywhere it goes.”
Zubair Tukhugov is 3-1-1 inside the octagon with his last fight in September ending in a Draw against Lerone Murphy. Aguilar was ahead in the fight, but his cardio failed him late and Murphy clawed his way back on the scorecards.
Prior to his September return to the octagon, Tukhugov had been out of action for over three years. He was suspended for two years due to failing a drug test and then was suspended a second time for participating in the brawl following the Nurmagomedov and McGregor fight.
With that said, Tukhugov is a solid grappler with a strong chin and decent striking skills. Although he’s not on the same level as his training partner Khabib, Zubaira has the potential to rise up the featherweight rankings.
This fight has all of the makings to go the full distance. Oddsmakers agree as they heavily favor that outcome with -250 odds. 14 of Tukhugov’s 23 pro fights have gone the distance. Seven of Aguilar’s 19 pro fights have gone the distance including five of the last six.
Tukhugov has odds of +180 to win via decision and Aguilar is listed at +164. Both of these lines are appealing, but we can only pick one winner. So, I am going with Aguilar in this one. I believe his striking will earn him more points with the judges and if he can keep the fight upright for long stretches then he might even get the TKO.
I’m not sure which Tukhugov will show up. Will we get the one who gassed out against Murphy or the one who easily won his first three fights in the UFC?
My favorite prop bet for this fight is for this contest to start the third round at -325 odds.
Spinning Back Kick! ?
Magomed Mustafaev returns at #UFCAuckland this Saturday against Brad Riddell! pic.twitter.com/eNqCPH9HZo
— UFC Europe (@UFCEurope) February 19, 2020
Kevin Aguilar (-115)
Fight goes the distance (-250)
Aguilar wins via decision (+164)
Fight to start 3rd round (-325)
Magomed Mustafaev vs Brad Riddell
- Magomed Mustafaev (-135)
- Brad Riddell (+115)
Riddell is the underdog for this lightweight contest, but he’s definitely ready to make his mark on the UFC. He debuted for the promotion last October and defeated Mullarkey via unanimous decision. He also won the Fight of the Night bonus in his debut.
Despite that success, Riddell is looking to perform even better his second time in the octagon and to extend his win streak to five fights. Additionally, he will be competing in his home country which gives him extra motivation. As for his opponent on Saturday, Riddell had the following comments:
“Fans are going to be looking at two very highly-skilled, amazing fighters that both have the ability to finish it and be very clinical or go to war and butt heads. That’s why I got put on the main card; not a lot of people get put on the main card in their second fight. I turn up to fight. A lot of people say that, but I really do every single time. Mentally and physically.”
Mustafaev has won 13 of his last 14 fights with his lone loss over that stretch coming to Kevin Lee in November 2016. The Russian fighter took a few years off before returning 10 months ago to defeat Fiziev via 1st round TKO. All 14 of his wins have come via stoppage. His two losses were via submission.
Fortunately for Mustafaev, he doesn’t have to worry about a submission on Saturday as Riddell is a striker looking for a knockout, not a tap out.
This fight should have fireworks and could earn a bonus, but it also could be slowed down by Mustafaev looking to grind it out on the mat. With that said, it’s hard to decide how far this fight will go. Oddsmakers believe it won’t go the distance at -185 odds.
Combined, these two men only have two fights go to a decision. However, Mustafaev has never seen the scorecards, those two decision bouts were from Riddell. I’m leaning towards this fight finishing inside the distance as well.
There’s going to be a lot of action in the opening round. If both fighters survive the early storms then this fight could end up being a thriller. I really like the prop bet for this fight starting the 2nd round at -245 odds. I feel more comfortable with that wager than any other one for this contest.
Riddell is +275 to win inside the distance and +365 to win via TKO/KO. Mustafaev is +145 to win inside the distance and +230 to win via TKO/KO.
It would be a nice story to see Riddell win in front of his fellow countrymen, but I think Magomed Mustafaev might be too much for Brad to handle. I’m taking Mustafaev to win this fight.
Magomed Mustafaev (-135)
Fight doesn’t go the distance (-185)
Mustafaev to win inside the distance (+145)
Fight starts 2nd round (-245)
Benjamin Sosoli vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima
- Benjamin Sosoli (+120)
- Marcos Rogerio de Lima (-140)
Ben Sosoli takes on Marcos Rogerio de Lima in the only heavyweight fight on the main card.
This will be Sosoli’s second official UFC fight after his debut ended via NC to Greg Hardy due to Hardy using an inhaler between rounds. Sosoli has actually had two straight fights end via NC as his appearance on DWCS last August ended via eye poke.
The Australian fighter is excited to be competing so close to his home country and cherishes the opportunity to have his friends and family close by to support him.
He expects this fight to stay upright and that the winner will be the one who better executes their game plan:
“He’s going to stand up, I’m going to stand up and it’s going to come down to whose game plan is better on the night and who can follow through better. I’ve got to push the work rate, push the pace, he comes out hard, he doesn’t slow down as the fight goes on and I just need to keep the pressure up.”
A five year veteran of the UFC, de Lima has alternated between wins and losses over the last four years. Currently, he’s 5-4 inside the octagon and last fought 12 months ago. He suffered a submission loss to Stefan Struve.
MRDL will have the height and reach advantages along with the edge in experience. Additionally, he’s fought tougher competition and is the better overall fighter between the two.
This fight will be a pure heavyweight striking battle, which is a good for de Lima as he’s had tougher times with grapplers in the UFC than strikers. His four losses inside the octagon have all come via submission. 11 of his 16 wins have come via TKO/KO. Six of Sosoli’s seven pro wins have come via TKO/KO.
With this much power and striking prowess, I don’t see the fight going the distance (-195). In fact, I have a hard time seeing it even go to round 3 (-128).
Sosoli has the knockout power to end the fight with his overhand right. However, de Lima has the technical edge and power as well. Someone is going to score the TKO/KO in this contest. Sosoli is +177 to win via knockout and Lima is +350. Sosoli is +170 to win inside the distance and Lima is +206.
I like these odds for the fight ending inside the distance. Now, it’s just a matter of deciding which fighter will get the stoppage. For me, I like de Lima more than Sosoli. He lost the fight to Hardy despite the NC. He hasn’t fought the caliber of fighters that de Lima has. Furthermore, he’s a one trick pony with his KO punch.
I believe de Lima is going to pick apart Sosoli and eventually catch him with a counter shot that will rock him. From there, we could see a TKO or a brutal knockout. Either way, I’m going with Marcos Rogerio de Lima to win this fight.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima (-140)
Fight ends inside the distance (-195)
De Lima wins inside the distance (+206)
De Lima wins via TKO/KO (+350)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Yan Xiaonan
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz (+210)
- Yan Xiaonan (-250)
Despite being the #14 ranked strawweight, Karolina Kowalkiewicz is the biggest underdog of the main card. She enters on a three fight losing streak that could see her bounced from the UFC with a 4th straight loss. Kowalkiewicz is 5-5 overall in the octagon, but has really struggled against top caliber fighters.
Yan Xiaonan is making a name for herself as a highly touted prospect out of China. She’s teammates with Zhang Weili, but would fight her for the title if the opportunity presented itself. Additionally, Yan is a firm believer that it’s her time to shine.
This will be the 5th trip to the octagon for Yan as she’s gone 4-0 with decision wins over decent competition. Albeit, not as good of a resume as Kowalkiewicz. Her last fight was June 2019 and she easily outpointed Angela Hill.
For this weekend’s fight, Yan is determined to win and wants a shot at someone ranked in the Top 10 so that she can quickly move through the rankings:
“After this fight I want to face someone ranked in the top 10,” says Yan. “I’m the kind of fighter whose performance depends on who is in front of me. If they are very strong then I am very strong. I can raise my performance to meet anyone so next time I want an even higher-ranked opponent. The higher I go the faster I will go through the rankings.”
This fight has “going the distance” written all over it. Online betting sites fully agree as they’ve listed the odds at -405 that it will go the full three rounds. Six of Yan’s 12 fights have gone the distance while Kowalkiewicz has seen 12 of her 17 fights go to the scorecards.
Furthermore, eight of Karolina’s 10 UFC fights have gone the distance and Yan has gone the distance in four straight fights, which have all taken place inside the octagon.
Kowalkiewicz is listed with odds of +320 to win via decision and Yan is listed at -142 to win via decision. That betting line for Yan offers more value than her moneyline.
For me, I’m taking Yan to win this fight via unanimous decision. These two women will punch each other in the face for three rounds, but Yan will land more strikes and outpoint Kowalkiewicz in this contest.
Yan Xiaonan (-250)
Ufc Fight Night 168 Betting Odds
Fight goes to decision (-405)
Yan Xiaonan wins via decision (-142)
Jim Crute vs Michal Oleksiejczuk
- Jim Crute (+110)
- Michal Oleksiejczuk (-130)
Australia’s Jim Crute comes into this co-main event as the slight underdog. Crute has gone 2-1 inside the octagon, but suffered the first loss of his career last September to Misha Cirkunov via 1st round submission. Seven of Crute’s 10 pro wins have come via stoppage with four by way of TKO/KO.
Michal Oleksiejczuk is the slight favorite, but is also coming off a loss in his last fight. Oleksiejczuk suffered a 2nd round submission loss to OSP last September despite starting the fight off strong. He’s now 2-1 in the UFC with 1 NC. 10 of his 14 pro wins have come via TKO/KO.
Since the loss, Oleksiejczuk has focused on becoming a better grappler. He wants to be equally good on the feet and the mat. The 24 year old certainly has time to evolve as a fighter. As for this weekend’s matchup, Oleksiejczuk is prepared for a battle:
“Crute will give me a tough battle because he is young, hungry and coming to fight. It won’t be an easy one for sure! I’m not thinking about knocking him out. I know I have to go in there, compete to the best of my ability and stay ready for everything.”
This fight is not expected to go the distance (-215). With that in mind, Crute is listed at +260 odds to win inside the distance and Oleksiejczuk is listed at +141. Both offer value, but Crute is nearly double the odds and payout.
Oleksiejczuk has the knockout power to win this fight in the first round. However, Crute can hang in the striking department as he works his way to a grappling position. Once there, he has the clear advantage and should be able to win this fight via submission (+625).
I believe Crute will survive the opening onslaught and eventually wear down Oleksiejczuk before finding a submission hold. I’m not sure if this fight will make it out of the first round or not, but I’m feeling comfortable with the prop bet that it won’t start the 3rd round (-138).
Mkekabet app download apk pc. Jim Crute (+110)
Fight doesn’t go the distance (-215)
Crute wins inside the distance (+260)
Fight doesn’t start 3rd round (-138)
Paul Felder vs Daniel Hooker
- Paul Felder (+130)
- Daniel Hooker (-150)
Let me first start out by saying that I am excited for this lightweight fight. Both combatants will bring the heat and this should be a war for however long it lasts. It’s also a battle of two of the best MMA nicknames as #6 Paul “The Irish Dragon” Felder takes on #7 Dan “The Hangman” Hooker.
Fight Night 168 Odds Ncaa Basketball
Paul Felder comes in as the underdog, but has won two straight fights and five of his last six contests. He last fought in September and beat Barboza via split decision. He also fought 12 months ago and beat Vick via unanimous decision.
Felder’s lone loss over his last six fights as a split decision defeat to Mike Perry. However, Felder was fighting with an injured arm and still barely lost. 11 of his 17 pro wins have come via stoppage with 10 by way of TKO/KO.
For Felder, and Hooker too, he wants a title shot after this Top 7 matchup. Additionally, he wants to go down to New Zealand and knockout Hooker as these two men have turned up the intensity over the last month:
“I’m invading into his country. My whole plan is to knock his a*s out in front of all his friends and family and take that money and get out of there and go on to a title shot.”
Dan Hooker has gone 6-1 in his last seven fights and enters this weekend’s contest on a two fight win streak. He is 9-4 in the UFC and has been clawing his way up the lightweight food chain to get into title contention. However, Hooker has a plan for after this fight and it doesn’t necessarily involve an immediate title shot:
“That Gaethje fight, bro. That Gaethje fight, that’s the one that, when you mention it to fight fans, when you mention it in discussions, it’s the one that makes the hair on your arms stand up. He’s an incredible finisher; I’m an incredible finisher. That fight packs out and sells out any arena in any kind of a world that you put it on.”
A fight with Gaethje would definitely be an exciting one, but he will have to survive this fight with Felder that’s equally as exciting. In fact, Hooker believes it will be 25 minutes of trading leather. In other words, you can expect a five round war.
17 of Hooker’s 19 pro wins have come via stoppage with 10 by way of TKO/KO. He’s been stopped three times, but is just 2-5 when going the distance.
Who Wins This War?
Oddsmakers are having a hard time figuring out how long this fight will go as they have it slightly favored to finish inside the distance (-135) compared to +105 for going the full five rounds.
Hooker is listed at +299 to win via decision and Felder is listed at +305. Those odds dramatically shift toward Hooker for the fight to end inside the distance as he’s listed at +145 and Felder is listed at +355.
For me, I see this fight going the full five rounds as these two men are extremely tough. Felder has only been stopped one time and it was a doctor’s TKO.
Hooker has three stoppage losses with one TKO/KO and two submissions. He won’t have to worry about a submission in this contest, so it comes down to his chin and striking skills.
More than likely, both men will survive the five rounds of war and set the bar for fight of the year in 2020. I like Felder as a fighter and a commentator. I actually can see him winning this fight and then taking on Conor McGregor and Hooker fighting Gaethje.
As for the winner, I’m going with Felder via split decision over Hooker. Felder is 6-3 when going to the scorecards while Hooker is 2-5.
The beef is [email protected] and @DanTheHangman refused to back down in their first meeting ? #UFCAucklandpic.twitter.com/CkiTBRSgIl
— UFC (@ufc) February 18, 2020
Fight Night 168 Odds Explained
Paul Felder (+130)
Fight goes the distance (+105)
Felder wins via decision (+305)
Final Thoughts on UFC Fight Night 168’s Main Card
I’m pumped up for this main event fight. These two lightweights are finishers and will look to pummel each other for five rounds. I expect fireworks, brutality and a lot of heart from both men. The rest of the main card feels like appetizers to a main course. Nothing really satisfying, but somewhat tasty.
Fight Night 168 Betting Odds