The Kentucky Derby is less than a week away, and the Run for the Roses is shaping up to be a more wide-open race in 2019. While fans and recreational race bettors focus on the favorites, the professional players and bettors interested in a better payoff believe this will be the year that a favorite does not win the Kentucky Derby.
- Bet On The Kentucky Derby 2019
- Bet On The Kentucky Derby 2019 Winners
- How Much Money Was Bet On The Kentucky Derby 2019
Country House wins Kentucky Derby Danny Amendola, Tom Brady Bet $100,000 on Football Toss After Kentucky Derby After five seasons as teammates, you'd think Tom Brady has a better understanding of. 2019 Kentucky Derby odds, post positions Omaha Beach and Roadster opened as early co-favorites to win the 2019 Kentucky Derby, according to most Vegas sportsbooks.
Kentucky Derby post positions and odds
Post positions and opening odds were released on Tuesday morning. The original 20-horse field of 3-year-olds was made up from the Top 20 points earners during the 35 Derby prep races from September through April leading up to the Kentucky Derby on May 4.
Two horses — Omaha Beach and Haikal — were scratched this week. Bodexpress replaced Omaha Beach in the field.
Betting Odds Provided by TVG (Click here to get $300 risk-free bet, just for signing up!)
Bet On The Kentucky Derby 2019
|Post Position||Horse||Current Odds (5/4)||Opening Odds|
|1||War of Will||15-1||20-1|
|3||By My Standards||15-1||20-1|
|9||Plus Que Parfait||30-1||30-1|
|13||Code of Honor||12-1||15-1|
|14||Win Win Win||12-1||15-1|
|18||Long Range Toddy||30-1||30-1|
Betting the Kentucky Derby
Why is the Kentucky Derby such a great wagering opportunity? Beyond being a major event and the biggest 3-year-old race in the world, the Derby is stacked with a 20-horse field. So a big betting pool with a lot of uniform money is bet on the Kentucky Derby.
Now while the favorites have won the last six runnings of the Run for the Roses, those favorites have paid out pretty well between $6.60 and $12.80 on a $2 win wager. But it’s the chance for a big exacta, trifecta or superfecta score that brings out more bettors for the Derby.
When favorite Always Dreaming won in 2017, a $2 exacta with Lookin’ At Lee (33-1) returned $336.20. A $1 trifecta with Battle of Midway (40-1) in 3rd returned $8,297.20. And a $1 superfecta with Classic Empire (6-1) in 4th paid $75,974.50.
So, a big score is possible in the Derby, and most recreational bettors will miss the potential midrange or long shots with some value and potential to hit the board.
ALSO READ: Exacta? Trifecta? How To Get Exotic At The Kentucky Derby
2019 Kentucky Derby runners and contenders
These three horses will take the most wagering action and one of them will go off as the Kentucky Derby favorite:
- Roadster: First place in Santa Anita Derby
- Game Winner: Second place in Santa Anita Derby, Champion in 2-year-old and Breeders’ Cup Juvenile champion
- Improbable: Second Arkansas Derby
The next wave of contenders includes the other four major prep winners:
- Tacitus: First Wood Memorial
- Maximum Security: First Florida Derby
- Vekoma: First Blue Grass
- By My Standards: First Louisiana Derby
The remaining two-thirds of the Derby field will provide some potential for a big score. Recall in the 2017 Kentucky Derby, Always Dreaming won with a clean trip and good post over a sloppy track, but super longshots at 33-1 and 40-1 finished second and third to trigger big exotic payouts.
- Plus Que Parfait: First UAE Derby
- Code of Honor: Third Florida Derby
- War of Will: Ninth Louisiana Derby
- Cutting Humor: First Sunland Derby
- Tax: Second Wood Memorial
- Win Win Win: Second Blue Grass
- Country House: Third Arkansas Derby
- Long Range Toddy: Sixth Arkansas Derby
- Spinoff: Second Louisiana Derby
- Gray Magician: Second UAE Derby
- Master Fencer: Second Fukuryu Stakes (Japan)
Kentucky Derby recent history
The 2019 Kentucky Derby will have the biggest purse in the Derby’s 145-year history of $3 million. The race-day favorite at post time has won the Kentucky Derby six years in a row, including in 2018 when Justifywon the Run for the Roses on his way to Triple Crown glory. American Pharoah (2015) was also a Triple Crown winner, snapping the long 37-year drought without a Triple Crown winner.
|2012||I’ll Have Another||15-1||$32.60||2:01.83||Fast||2nd|
|2009||Mine That Bird||51-1||$103.20||2:02.66||Sloppy||18th|
Kentucky Derby tips
Bet On The Kentucky Derby 2019 Winners
Beyond having a few places to bet on the Kentucky Derby like top online sites TVG, TwinSpires and BetAmerica, look for sportsbooks that offer more Derby betting options like head-to-head matchup wagering. As more legal sports books enter the market in the US, like FanDuel Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook and PointsBet, you’ll also see these sportsbooks get more creativeand offer special offers and promotions on big events like the Kentucky Derby.
In handicapping and preparing for the Kentucky Derby, you can be more informed and have a better chance to win if you follow some simple tips from experts like Mike Shutty; author of Super Screener and founder of Horse Racing Nation. The big wheel casino game.
- Learn to project the pace of the race
- Form cycle analysis – look at contenders form cycle
- Workout analysis – last workouts before Derby
While we wait for the Derby draw, final workouts and track condition, some early indications are that a horse at midrange odds like Tacitus is clearly capable of winning the 2019 Kentucky Derby.
Longshots like Spinoff or Maximum Security can’t be ruled out on the win or Top 3 finish, while By My Standards is another potential underneath type horse that would provide a big payoff even if the projected favorite Roadster were to continue improvement and run well to win.
Mike Smith, who road Justify to a Kentucky Derby victory and Triple Crown achievement, has elected to ride Omaha Beach instead of Roadster.
The Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs is just a giant, almost out-of-control party that happens to have horses at it. I've been to the event twice, and both times there were multiple people around who didn't even make it to the race - or didn't remember it if they did. It's all about the party, and it is so much fun. Even if you can't make the trip to Churchill Downs, though, you can have your own party at home. And with a few good Kentucky Derby betting party ideas and tips your party will be one that people won't soon forget:
It's all about the hats: You hear about how every woman at the Derby wears fancy hats. Until you go, though, you don't realize how insanely competitive people are about having great hats. It's incredible. Invite your guests to wear the best hat - or the ugliest, or the most creative. Have a simple prize to fuel the competitive factor.
Mint juleps. Must have mint juleps: It is stunning how many mint juleps get consumed at the Derby. And these aren't weak little drinks, either - they knock your socks off. They are very easy to make at home, and as the official drink of the Derby they bring authenticity to your event. A good mint julep isn't fancy. Some fresh mint. Some simple syrup. Some ice. And a lot of bourbon. But it has to be real Kentucky bourbon. And it needs to be stiff. Some people might struggle with the first one. But by the third one they will go down very easy. Too easy.
How to make a betting pool for the Kentucky Derby
How Much Money Was Bet On The Kentucky Derby 2019
It's not a horse race if you aren't betting on it. There are, fortunately, lots of easy ways to offer fun and fair betting at home. You don't even need a math degree to pull these off.
Run your own mutuels: Thanks to the miracles of computers and the Internet, there are all sorts of good ways to offer mutuel betting at home. If you have your own betting account at an online sportsbook or an online racebook, you can place people's bets out of your account and collect their cash or get an online transfer. If you don't want to get that complicated, you can easily run your own pool. It's actually pretty easy. Let's say that you are taking win bets, and that people can bet in multiples of one dollar. And let's say that $100 in total is bet on all the horses in the race. The horse that wins has 10 $1 bets on it. The people who made those bets get their bets back. That leaves $90 in the pool. Dividing the $90 by the 10 correct ticket means that each ticket holder makes a $9 profit. You can set this up easily in a spreadsheet, or there are apps available that will help you do it. The fun really happens if a horse wins that no one has bet on. You could refund the money, but that's boring. It's more interesting if you donate it to charity, or if you have another contest of some sort to decide who gets the cash.
Auction action: If you don't want to deal with running your own mutuel betting an easier, and often more fun, way to do it is through an auction. You can offer each horse up for sale and throw all the money into a pot. The person who owns the winning horse gets all the money. The fun of this approach is that the favorites usually go for big money - Justify would have drawn some insane money last year - but you can pick up the last few horses in a few for very little money. So, in a year like 2009 when Mine That Bird shocked the world, chances are very good that whoever bought him in auctions would have paid almost nothing for him, and they would have been in for a sweet payday. If you want to get a little creative and have more fun, you can split up the field in ways other than just horse by horse. You can auction horses off by trainer - with three of the favorites in the field this year, Bob Baffert will go for a massive price. You can have a lot of fun going by the colors of the horses as listed in the program or splitting the field up by the state they ran their last race in. There is really no limit to the ways you can set up your action.
Kentucky Derby betting games ideas
If you don't feel like messing around with the options above, there are other simpler ways to allow people to have a rooting interest in the race. The advantage of these approaches is that there is no skill involved, so if your guests don't have a lot of handicapping skill this could be the way to go.
Sell envelopes: Put the name of each horse inside an envelope and seal it up. Make sure that you can't see the name through the envelope. Set a price for each envelope that works for your crowd - it's could be $5 an envelope or $100 depending on what kind of crowd you roll with. People get to pick an envelope when they pay for it, but they don't open it. After the race has been run, people take turns opening their envelope to see who has the winner's name inside. That person gets the whole pool and bragging rights for the year. People are of course free to trade, sell or barter their envelopes any time before they are opened, too.
Kentucky Derby betting square: A betting square is a fixture at any Super Bowl party. You can easily adapt it to work for the Derby. The easiest way to do it is by betting the exacta. There are 20 horses in the field. On one side of the square you list each of those numbers. That's the win side. On the opposite side you again list all those numbers, and that is the horse that finishes second. You have to cross out the squares where the same numbers meet - a horse can't finish both first and second in the race. But that leaves 380 possible squares, and only one will be correct. You can set a price that is reasonable for each square - low enough that people can afford to buy several, but high enough that the pot gets up to a good size. Whoever buys the winning square gets the pot.
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Read more articles by Trevor Whenham